Bundesbank research looks at German banks’ forecasts

Economists measure lenders’ effectiveness at planning for rates cuts

forecasting

An analysis by the Bundesbank has questioned the effectiveness of the forecasting by Germany’s small and medium-sized banks.

The discussion paper, How good are banks’ forecasts?, uses data that the banks were required to submit under the country’s low-interest rate environment surveys. These surveys asked banks to forecast their financial statements and give their expectations on interest rate movements over four periods: 2015–19, 2017–2021, 2019–2023 and 2022–26.

The authors, Lotta Heckmann

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Central Banking? View our subscription options

Register for Central Banking

All fields are mandatory unless otherwise highlighted

This address will be used to create your account

Most read articles loading...

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Central Banking account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account

.