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Inflationary shocks hurt US labour market and output – Fed study

As real wages decline, workers search for new, less economically productive jobs, research finds

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Inflationary shocks reduce allocative efficiency in the labour market, according to new research from the Federal Reserve Board.

The paper, published this month, finds that a one percentage point rise in inflation increases job-to-job transitions by up to 4.5%. The authors – Gorkem Bostanci, Omer Koru and Sergio Villalvazo – add that people with higher inflation expectations are more likely to search for new employment opportunities and will do so more vigorously.

They add that when workers lose

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