Non-linear shocks create asymmetric policy impacts – paper

Mortgage spreads affect economy more during recession

Bank of England
The Bank of England

The effectiveness of policies probably depends on the state of the economy because of non-linearities in financial shocks, according to a Bank of England staff working paper.

Nonlinearities of mortgage spreads over the business cycles, published on December 9, examines how changes in mortgage spreads have a greater impact on the economy during periods of recession than during periods of expansion.

Authors Chak Hung Jack Cheng and Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu say this has "vital" policy implications.

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