Hungarian economists take on ‘delayed overshoot' puzzle
Spike in carry trade activity cannot be proven to affect longer-term exchange rate dynamics
A protracted appreciation of the exchange rate following an interest rate hike – the so-called ‘delayed overshooting puzzle' – cannot be explained by carry trade activity, which spikes immediately after an interest rate shock.
In Carry Trade, Uncovered Interest Parity and Monetary Policy, Central Bank of Hungary economists Dániel Felcser and Balázs Vonnák point out that many authors find interest rate dynamics following an interest rate hike "is in contradiction with traditional theory of
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
Bank of Russia holds rates
Nabiullina hints at significant fiscal change and says “inflationary pressure” remains
Pakistan holds interest rate ahead of IMF loan review
Central bank says inflation remains high even after dropping in March
Research probes US consumers’ dislike of inflation
People prefer inflation close to zero but may misunderstand the underlying processes, studies find
Thai prime minister tells lenders to cut interest rates
Move comes amid continued tensions between government and central bank
Ukraine cuts rates as inflation falls
Central bank is positive over foreign aid but says economic damage from war could worsen
Turkey keeps interest rates flat
Central bank says monetary policy may tighten if inflation worsens
BoJ keeps policy unchanged as yen weakens
Policymakers raise inflation forecasts, saying “virtuous wage-price cycle” is strengthening
Fed policy has more effect during US recessions, ECB paper finds
Researchers use non-linear methods to examine effects of FOMC shocks
Most read
- ‘Do I die, or do I survive?’ Officials reflect on Basel III complexity
- ECB says iPhone is currently incompatible with digital euro
- French president calls for expanded ECB mandate