Inflation forecasting for a changing world
Phillips Curve-type models that simultaneously address structural change and account for certainty deliver superior inflation forecasts, new research from the Norges Bank reveals.
The research shows that such model specification generally provides superior one-quarter and one-year ahead forecasts for quarterly inflation relative to a whole range of forecasting models that are typically used in the literature.
Click here to read the paper
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
Sweden cuts rates while Norway holds
Norges Bank warns slowing disinflation may mean maintaining rates for longer than it expected
BIS’s Zhang Tao on why Asian central banks favour a broader policy mix
The BIS’s Asia chief speaks with Christopher Jeffery and Jimmy Choi about supporting liquidity, financial stability and innovation in the Asia-Pacific region
Turkey official inflation surges to nearly 70%
Finance minister Şimşek says inflation will peak in May and then decline
Neutral interest rates at pre-pandemic levels, Bank of Canada finds
Nominal neutral interest rates in both countries sit between 2.25% and 3.25%
Czech National Bank cuts rates by 50 basis points
Central European country follows in Hungary’s footsteps in easing
Bank of Russia holds rates
Nabiullina hints at significant fiscal change and says “inflationary pressure” remains
Pakistan holds interest rate ahead of IMF loan review
Central bank says inflation remains high even after dropping in March
Research probes US consumers’ dislike of inflation
People prefer inflation close to zero but may misunderstand the underlying processes, studies find
Most read
- BIS’s Zhang Tao on why Asian central banks favour a broader policy mix
- Central bank of the year: Central Bank of Brazil
- ECB staff speak out against changes to internal survey