Analysing debt sustainability: a fresh approach

Research published by the International Monetary Fund has developed a new framework for analysis of public sector debt sustainability.

The framework uses concepts and methods from modern practice of contingent claims to develop a quantitative risk-based model of sovereign credit risk.

The model aims to provide a clear and workable complement to traditional debt sustainability analysis which suffers from the inability to measure risk exposures, default probabilities and credit spreads.

The

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