Explaining US imbalances

In this new NBER working paper, Fabrizio Perri and Alessandra Fogli argue that an external imbalance is a natural consequence of the decline in the volatility of the US business cycle.

In "The 'Great Moderation' and the US External Imbalance", the authors start by outlining the emergence in the early 1980s of "two striking features" of the current world macro-economy: the fall in American business-cycle volatility - the "great moderation" - and the large and persistent external imbalance.

Perri

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