Phillips curve flatter when inflation is low – researchers

Downward wage and price rigidities cause non-linearity in Phillips curve, says Peterson Institute paper

Inflation target

The Phillips curve may be flatter when inflation is low and output is below potential, a paper published by the Peterson Institute for International Economics finds.

The Phillips curve states that a strengthening economy is associated with an increase in inflation. Kristin Forbes, Joseph Gagnon and Christopher Collins examine this relationship across 31 countries from 1996 to 2017.

They find that if inflation is running below 3% and there is spare capacity in the economy, the relationship

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Central Banking? View our subscription options

Register for Central Banking

All fields are mandatory unless otherwise highlighted

This address will be used to create your account