Money and Inflation in the Euro Area

RESEARCH - Paper by Stefan Gerlach of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Lars E.O Svensson of Princeton University, April 2002.

Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?

Abstract

This paper examines inflation indicators for the euro area by studying the relationship between inflation, output, money and interest rates, using data spanning 1980-2001. The central finding is that both the output gap and the real money gap (the difference between the real money stock and

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