Monetary policy decisions
Book notes: Bankers, Bureaucrats and Central Bank Politics, by Christopher Adolph
An interesting, if slightly dated, analysis of those who made monetary policy decisions in advanced economies between 1950–2001, attempting to understand whether personal background influences decision-making
Brazil central bank steps up pace of rate cuts
Inflation outlook “favourable” with target likely to be achieved by 2018; government pursuing tough fiscal reform
Argentina’s central bank reverses course on interest rates
Central bank hikes rate on its 35-day Lebac bonds to 26.25% on the back of higher-than-expected inflation figures
Inflation worries prompt further action from Mexico
Mexico slows pace of rate hikes amid inflation worries and volatile exchange rate; monetary policy committee will closely watch US economy, latest announcement says
End of ‘hiking cycle’ has been reached – Sarb’s Kganyago
South African Reserve Bank publishes improved inflation forecast as the MPC votes to leave interest rates at 7%; uncertainty around the exchange rate is still a concern
Fed presidents lay ground for extra rate hike
Evans, Rosengren and Williams all signal the possibility of a fourth rate hike in 2017 if economy runs hot
Bank of Ghana starts to unwind tight monetary policy
Central bank slashes interest rates to 23.5% in largest cut since 2010; inflation shows signs of improvement but certain risks still loom over prices
BoJ minutes highlight hopeful signs for Japanese economy
Members highlight “more solid” recovery supported by a pick-up in exports and production, although inflation is still sluggish
Kashkari explains his sole FOMC dissent
Minneapolis chief reminds his colleagues the Fed treats 2% inflation as a target, not a ceiling; urges FOMC to publish plan for shrinking balance sheet
Turkey keeps tightening with secondary instruments
Hike in late liquidity facility gives room for further tightening, as the central bank responds to inflation hitting double figures
BoE’s Forbes dissents as inflation looms
MPC member votes for 25bp hike as inflation looks set to exceed target until “at least” 2020; other members sitting on the fence, for now
Fed delivers 25bp hike
Fed makes rate hike that many FOMC members have been hinting at for weeks; committee gives bullish signals on the outlook
CBRT under pressure as inflation breaches 10%
Consumer prices rising at their fastest rate since 2012, leaving the central bank in a difficult position
RBNZ’s Wheeler: policy now has ‘neutral bias’
Risks to future rate movements “equally weighted”, governor says, though plenty of domestic and global risks could knock the outlook off course
Interest rate effects weaker at low levels – Borio and Gambacorta
Supply of loans becomes less responsive to policy rate movements when interest rates are already very low, likely due to impact on bank profits, authors say
Plummeting inflation prompts Bank of Zambia action
Central bank cuts policy rate by 150bp, in addition to a cut to the overnight lending rate and reserve ratio; inflation falls from over 18% to 7% in a matter of months
IMF praises BCEAO’s latest policy actions
Latest round of measures will result in stronger banking sector, mission chief says; rejuvenation of interbank market will help monetary policy effectiveness
Bank of Uganda cuts rate as inflation outlook improves
The near-term inflation outlook worsens, but latest forecasts shows recovery within the target band; the IMF’s Lagarde praises the central bank for its “prudent” approach
Riksbank sees need for expansionary policy, despite rising inflation
Inflation in Sweden is now close to target, and expected to overshoot, but the central bank is holding policy steady with an eye on political uncertainty
Nigeria’s central bank is in the eye of the storm
The Central Bank of Nigeria’s flawed foreign exchange policies worsened a recession in 2016. It now needs to rebuild its credibility, argues former CBN deputy governor Kingsley Moghalu
US uncertainty puts Bank of Mexico on edge
Central bank hikes rate by 50bp as uncertainty from the US threatens inflation; international fuel prices are also a concern
BoJ’s Nakaso: inflation on upward path this year
Pressure on wages, rising commodity prices and a turnaround in expectations will drive up prices, deputy says; rejects calls for rate hike
Fed officials emphasise risks despite improving outlook
“Risk management” approach to policy needed despite improving outlook, say Evans and Kashkari; Bullard notes balance sheet adjustment also an option for tightening
RBI highlights bad debts as it holds rates
Surprise hold as committee sees “very sticky” core prices and global effects; central bank may create a ‘bad bank’ to tackle NPA problem