Trade
Spanish governor calls for consolidation and reforms to preserve growth
Hernández de Cos highlights Spain’s stronger export sector after financial crisis
Bank of Thailand grapples with baht appreciation
Central bank has relaxed forex regulations and cut rates as baht hits six-year high
Australian dollar falls as RBA keeps rate cut on agenda
Central bank willing to provide more stimulus after economic reassessment due in February 2020
Brexit uncertainties reduced Belgian exports to UK - NBB paper
Paper looks at impact on exports and imports of uncertainty caused by Brexit referendum
Canada’s fiscal stimulus worth 100bp of rate cuts – Poloz
Infrastructure investment has also helped to reduce financial vulnerabilities
Kenya cuts rates on anchored inflation and tight fiscal outlook
Central bank reduces bank rate by 50 basis points to 8.5%
Riksbank warns of rising financial stability risks in Sweden
Global economic slowdown and continued low rates may encourage greater risk-taking
US-China trade deal could damage some countries’ trade flows – IMF paper
Eurozone could face loss of trade from between $61 billion to $84 billion, researchers find
Uncertainty is lessening monetary policy effectiveness, Fed president says
Policy-makers at risk of not getting same “bang for the buck”, Tom Barkin says
Trump’s trade war is squeezing US profits – IMF paper
Retailers kept prices unchanged and exporters cut theirs, Gita Gopinath and co-authors find
Fed reduces rates but signals pause
Current stance of policy “likely to remain appropriate” to sustain moderate expansion, Powell says
BoE’s Tenreyro comes to the defence of flexible exchange rates
Policy-maker challenges conventional wisdom in several areas of economics
Interview: Seth Carpenter on the US outlook, trade and a ‘disingenuous’ Fed
UBS chief US economist and former Fed director of monetary affairs sees a gloomy outlook for first half of 2020
Bundesbank: Germany may have entered recession
Report says manufacturing output fell markedly in the third quarter, despite domestic resilience
Argentina and Paraguay approve cross-border payments
All members of Mercosur trading bloc now have bilateral cross-border payments accords
‘Hegemonic digital currency’ could help fix global system – Carney
Using CBDC to facilitate online sales could bring about more rapid change, governor says
Bank of Spain paper looks at supply chains’ impact on investment
Greater value chain integration has strong impact on foreign and domestic investment, paper finds
Strong dollar can be bad for trade – BIS paper
Textbook theory does not always hold due to the effect of global value chains, authors say
IMF warns of ‘synchronised slowdown’ as it cuts forecasts
Fund revises down growth prospects for 2019–20 and calls for action on financial vulnerabilities
There are better ways to solve China trade dispute – Atlanta Fed economist
It is “underappreciated” that the Chinese currency is devalued, Tao Zha says
Trump has changed markets’ expectations of Fed’s moves – researchers
Goldman Sachs and NBER both study implications of Trump’s tweets on trade and the Fed
Chances of US recession ‘notably increased’, FOMC members say
Fed rate-setters worried by trade and political uncertainty and weaker manufacturing, minutes show
BoE FPC: Markets may ‘jump to illiquidity’ if stressed
Debt and “structural illiquidity” could amplify global shocks, warns committee
IMF chief sends strong warning on trade in first speech
US-China trade war could cost global economy the GDP equivalent of Switzerland, Kristalina Georgieva warns