Economics
Advanced economies face slowdown and stubborn inflation
Jagjit Chadha analyses the shifting outlook for the world economy, with more hard work ahead for central banks
NBER paper proposes ‘resurrecting’ non-linear Phillips curve
Original version of the curve is “strongly non-linear” and helps explain current inflation, authors say
Regnology cements regtech-suptech dominance with Metadata acquisition
Series of bank collapses underscores need for timely data on firms’ regulatory metrics
Extended QE creates pessimistic sentiment – Bank of Canada paper
News and social media “significantly” impact market sentiment, researchers say
What economists learned from Covid-19
A rush of work on ‘epi-macro’ yielded breakthroughs and then faded. Will there be lasting benefits?
Eurozone inflation rises to 7% in April
Core inflation declined to 5.6%, but energy prices grew again
Book notes: Money and the rule of law, by Peter Boettke, Alexander Salter and Daniel Smith
A largely US-focused book, which hankers for more robust rules for central banks but isn’t explicit as to what kind
BoE’s Broadbent denies money supply is driving inflation
Deputy governor says M4 growth neither driven by QE or particularly linked to inflation
Structural reforms could ‘unleash’ Indian growth – IMF paper
Study highlights shift in sources of productivity growth in India
Asset purchases stopped mutual fund crisis, ECB paper finds
ECB’s emergency purchases in Covid-19 pandemic prevented asset fire-sale spiral
ECB paper looks at borrower-based macro-pru limits
Households’ resilience and banks’ capital ratios improved by caps on borrowing
UK inflation still in double digits in March
Analysts think MPC likely to vote for at least one further rate increase
Immigration decline hurts growth and inflation prospects – Fed research
Dallas Fed VP says “absolutely” a link between low immigration and rising inflation
Curaçao and Sint Maarten’s governor praises IMF analysis tool
Island nations are in no hurry to adopt CBDC, Richard Doornbosch says
Weather affects eurozone inflation, ECB paper finds
Bloc’s four biggest economies respond differently to changes in temperature and variability
Kganyago calls for lower inflation target and tighter policy
Sarb governor urges reform of South Africa’s troubled transport and electricity sectors
Global economy will be ‘anaemic’ – IMF
Inflation falling, but central banks will only reach targets over 2024 and 2025
Youth disconnect could create ‘less-skilled workforce’ – Dallas Fed
Declining labour force participation is detaching younger people from work, authors find
Kansas City Fed warns slow wage growth could spur debt problems
Subprime auto debt back above pre-pandemic levels and consumer debt at highest level ever
IMF research emphasises link between inflation and fiscal policy
Authors call for spending cuts and large, targeted wealth transfers to the poor
Bank of Israel warns political turmoil could hit GDP
Central bank slows cycle with 25bp hike, raising key rate to 4.5%
Long-term unemployment can affect inflation – BoE paper
Non-linear Phillips curve helps explain finding that breaks with previous literature
IMF approves $15.6 billion for Ukraine
Fund calls wartime loan “unprecedented” and risky