Unemployment
Bullard says Fed may need to cut rates ‘soon’
Market-implied probability of a cut in September now above 80%
US labour force participation driven by fewer outflows – San Fran Fed researcher
Hot economy could be making workers less likely to leave labour force, Regis Barnichon says
Bank of Spain calls for reform of pensions system
Governor sees need for national consensus to secure sustainability of current system
South African MPC narrowly votes to hold rates
Sarb cuts projected growth rates and expects looser monetary policy
Costa Rica cuts rates further following March reversal
Central bank concerned about downside inflation risks and slow economic activity
Minneapolis Fed president calls on Fed to ‘re-tool’ labour market analysis
Wages are a better means of estimating labour market slack, Kashkari says
RBNZ cuts rates to new low on ‘subdued’ outlook
Central bank opts to cut the policy rate despite being broadly on target, citing “headwinds”
US macroeconomic data backs up Fed’s ‘patient’ approach
Lower core inflation is expected to only be temporary, Powell says
The IFF China Report 2019
Insight and perspectives from the world's leaders, premier policy-makers and financiers
Sluggish investment was key factor in weak post-crisis recovery – IMF research
Output losses affected countries regardless of whether they had suffered a banking crisis
RBNZ faces communication challenges in new policy framework
Some observers think new monetary policy committee may add confusion, but Orr appears to be focusing on broader topics
The IFF China Report 2019: Financial deepening, fintech development and green financing
The past 40 years have seen China transform from a recipient of global aid to a major economic centre in its own right. China is now seeking to deepen its markets, gradually open its borders to global financial flows, and promote new and innovative forms…
The IFF China Report 2019: The Belt and Road Initiative
Over the past five years, China has invested more than $70 billion in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries, of which there are now in excess of 100. Leading Chinese and international policy-makers explain how BRI efforts are progressing. This section…
The IFF China Report 2019: New globalisation – The path to the future
Multilateral rules and multilateral bodies will need to be upgraded in the coming years to better represent the shift in economic gravity towards Asia, which has emerged as the largest contributor to global growth during the past decade.
Costa Rica makes about-turn on interest rates
Central bank reverses November hike as inflation concerns tip towards the downside
South Africa to press ahead with Sarb nationalisation
Governor Kganyago warned in July 2018 nationalisation would be a long and expensive process
South African governor questions ruling party’s pledge to broaden mandate
ANC’s election manifesto called for monetary policy to target employment creation and growth
Polarised labour market has left low-skilled workers vulnerable – research
Technology and globalisation have hit wages of less skilled urban workers, says David Autor
Phillips curve still applies to Sweden, Riksbank researcher says
Firm-level data indicates that traditional relationship still holds, paper argues
BoE paper outlines results of uncertainty experiment
Decision-maker panel seeks to gauge business uncertainty in the context of Brexit
RBA governor does not rule out a rate cut in 2019
Uncertain international outlook has rebalanced policy options towards a looser approach
Fed’s 2019 stress tests to assume largest unemployment shock to date
Central bank also announces moves to enhance transparency in its stress-testing programme
‘Global inflation gap’ points to slack across advanced economies – paper
Authors find no evidence that inflation is “on the brink of surging ahead”
Sarb’s mandate will not change, president Ramaphosa says
Officials move to clarify manifesto claim following backlash