GDP
IMF mission to leave Brazil in June
Announcement follows criticism by finance minister of IMF forecasts
Hungary continues campaign of rate hikes
MNB ends asset purchase programme, as inflation rises above 7%
Pakistan confronts inflation with 100bp hike
Third consecutive increase may be last for a while, MPC says
Quarterly forecast updates predominate
Frequency of forecasts varies more widely in emerging markets
Alternative data fuels central bank research
Important research areas include monetary transmission, exchange rates, digitisation, SMEs and climate change, against the backdrop of Covid
Pandemic spurred use of alternative data
Advanced and emerging market economies prioritise different applications
Economist salaries outpace GDP per capita
Salaries were six times higher than GDP per capita, on average
How Turkey’s president created chaos in economic policy-making
Observers allege presidential domination of the central bank, unauthorised FX transactions and untrustworthy statistics
Kyrgyzstan raises rates again after lull
Central bank orders 50bp hike amid double-digit inflation
Iceland hikes policy rate again
Central bank orders 50 basis-point rise amid inflationary pressures
Sarb raises rates for first time in 17 months
MPC splits three to two on vote to increase rates
Jamaica ups policy rate by 50 basis points
Central bank “reduces monetary accommodation” as island faces high inflation
Colombia continues tightening monetary policy
Central bank board unanimous on raising rates, but splits 5–2 on size of increase
Fed’s Bullard believes a ‘five-year window’ for AIT is ‘realistic’
St Louis Fed president says “big tent language” was a reason overshoot details were not specified; “precise numerical implementations” can “get you into trouble”
James Bullard on Fed policy, action and governance
St Louis president calls for tapering amid “exceptional” job market and risk of “more persistent” inflation, quantifies ‘big tent language’ for pioneering AIT move, and details Congress’s role in Fed ethics oversight
Mexican inflation rising rapidly, warns deputy governor
Heath says prices increasing at “really phenomenal” rate but expects full pandemic recovery by 2023
IMF: growth prospects dim as pandemic lingers
Fund revises down growth forecasts, warning of inflation, disruption and divergence
Covid-19, crypto and climate weigh on global economy – GFSR
Central banks face difficult “intertemporal trade-offs”; poorer nations unlikely to regain pre-Covid growth levels for “many, many years”, says IMF’s financial counsellor Tobias Adrian
Summers fears for Fed’s ability to remove ‘punchbowl’
Central banks may not be able to counter inflation threat amid possible return to 1960s economics, says former US Treasury secretary
Bank of Israel again holds rate steady
But MPC signals it is ready to end QE programme if economic recovery continues
Romania orders first rate increase in more than three years
Central bank adds 25 basis points as energy prices bite, while Moldova continues tightening
Larry Summers on stagflation risks, lessons from Delphi and never-ending ‘punch’
The former US Treasury secretary speaks about fiscal ‘overexpansion’, Fed/Treasury debt discord, the pitfalls of ‘unknown unknowns’ and central bankers ‘unable’ to remove the ‘punchbowl’
Colombia raises policy rate for first time since 2016
Board forecasts inflation will be above target band for the rest of this year
Jamaican central bank makes first rate rise since 2019
Central bank forecasts inflation will be above target for two years as it hikes rate by 100bp