Research

BoE paper on the danger of inflating expectations

According to the Bank of England Working Paper "The danger of inflating expectations of macroeconomic stability: heuristic switching in an overlapping generations monetary model" the volatility of inflation and output has fallen in most advanced…

Capital flows to Central and Eastern Europe

This IMF Working Paper examines the evolution of the net external asset positions of Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC) countries over the past decade, with a strong emphasis on the composition of their international balance sheets.

IMF paper on debt in emerging market crises

The IMF Working Paper "The level and composition of public sector debt in emerging market crises" examines the evolution of public sector debt levels and structures in 12 emerging market countries around the time of financial crises.

Lucas critique & the stability of empirical models

This Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper, published 14 August, re-considers the empirical relevance of the Lucas critique using a DSGE sticky price model in which a weak central bank response to inflation generates equilibrium indeterminacy.

ECB paper on the European corporate bond market

The ECB Occasional Paper "Implications for liquidity from innovation and transparency in the European corporate bond market" offers a new framework for the assessment of financial market liquidity and identifies two types: search liquidity and systemic…

IMF paper on the management of oil wealth

The IMF Working Paper "Management of oil wealth under the permanent income hypothesis: The case of Sao Tome and Principe" documents the protracted process of shaping the rules governing oil operations in Sao Tome and Principe.

Buba paper on the diversification of German banks

The Bundesbank Discussion Paper "Does diversification improve the performance of German banks? Evidence from individual bank loan portfolios" investigates the link between banks' profitability (ROA) and their portfolio diversification across different…

ECB paper on credit risk mitigation

The ECB Occasional Paper "Credit risk mitigation in central bank operations and its effects on financial markets: the case of the Eurosystem" reviews the role and effects of the collateral framework which central banks, and in particular the Eurosystem,…

Paper on European and US sovereign bond markets

The Research Technical Paper "An empirical analysis of transparency-related characteristics of European and US sovereign bond markets" from the Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland examines transparency-related characteristics of…

IMF paper on lending resumption after default

The IMF Working Paper "Lending resumption after default: Lessons from capital markets during the 19th century" mines the experience of capital markets during the 19th century to propose an alternative way of interpreting international default episodes.

Revised Bank Secrecy Act Manual

A revised "Bank Secrecy Act/Anti-Money Laundering (BSA/AML) Examination Manual" has been issued. The manual, effective 1 August, provides current and consistent risk-based guidance for banking organizations to comply with the BSA and safeguard operations…

ECB paper on fiscal policy in a monetary economy

The ECB Working Paper "Fiscal policy in a monetary economy with capital and finite lifetime" published 27 July develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with nominal rigidities, capital accumulation and finite lifetimes.

IMF paper on inflation forecasting

The IMF Working Paper "The role of seasonality and monetary policy in inflation forecasting" suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy stances, particularly where seasonal fluctuations of economic…

RBNZ paper on exchange rate stabilisation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand Working Paper "How costly is exchange rate stabilisation for an inflation targeter? The case of Australia" quantifies the costs of mitigating exchange rate volatility within the context of a flexible inflation targeting…

Fiscal convergence before entering the EMU

This European Central Bank Working Paper, published 27 July, addresses the question of whether a reduction of public deficits, such as imposed by the Maastricht fiscal criteria, is a necessary or useful step on the road to the adoption of the euro.

Japan - Effects of the quantitative easing policy

The Bank of Japan Working Paper "Effects of the quantitative easing policy: A survey of empirical analyses" surveys the empirical analyses that examine the effects of the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s quantitative easing policy (QEP).

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