Irish inflation is domestically determined, central bank economists find

Correlation with the UK and the eurozone reflects common shocks

central-bank-of-ireland-2
The Central Bank of Ireland

Irish inflation dynamics over the past 80 years can be understood through a simple backward-looking Philips Curve that incorporates import prices, according to a new paper by Central Bank of Ireland economists, who argue that inflation in Ireland is less dependent on its currency partners – in turn the UK and the eurozone – than is commonly believed.

The Phillips Curve in Ireland: 1935–2012, by deputy governor Stefan Gerlach and his colleagues Raemonn Lydon and Rebecca Stuart and published by

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