Core inflation no better than other measures

New research published by the Philadelphia Federal Reserve dismisses claims that core inflation is a better predictor of total inflation.

The research finds that, depending on which inflation measure is used, core inflation is not necessarily the best predictor of total inflation over time horizons of import to policymakers.

The paper also finds little support for claims that food and energy prices, which are omitted from calculations of core inflation, are the most volatile components of

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