Opinion/Monetary Policy
The BoJ’s possible path to positive rates
Are market expectations about a spring shift from negative Japanese rates credible, asks Sayuri Shirai
A league table for central bank hawkishness
Steve Kamin runs the numbers to assess which central banks have raised rates most aggressively
Jackson Hole in the wake of policy rules
Symposium heralds a move to relying on incoming data and judgement, rather than rules or even formal models, to hit inflation targets, writes Barry Eichengreen
A letter to Andrew Bailey
Jagjit Chadha warns the Bank of England governor not to let markets take control
BoJ’s easing stance fuels yen undervaluation dilemma
Japanese policy-makers need to consider feedback loop that an undervalued yen has on cost-push inflation; reflect on YCC exit options in ‘broad perspective review’, writes Sayuri Shirai
Challenges ahead for Ueda’s easing commitment
BoJ governor’s plan to maintain monetary easing until 2% inflation is hit may not be easy, writes Sayuri Shirai
A troubling trilemma
Central banks need to tread a fine line as they serve as the economy’s police, fire brigade and paramedics
Stability under the 2% inflation standard is a chimera
An inflexible standard of value that lets the market decide how much money to produce would be superior, write Brendan Brown and Robert Pringle.
The always imminent demise of the global dollar
Creating effective alternatives will remain long and arduous despite China’s development of Cips, the mCBDC bridge and any oil-price redenomination, writes Barry Eichengreen
The strong dollar, global inflation and global recession
Steve Kamin asks whether the Fed’s tight policy is pushing the world towards recession
Liquidity dependence may hamper QE exit
Expanding reserves may prove perilous for financial stability, with maximum danger during QT, writes Viral Acharya
Quantitative tightening: missed opportunities
Treasuries and central banks must think harder about balance sheet policies, says Philip Turner
Some new monetary frictions
Negative net interest set to hit Fed earnings with monetary and fiscal policy implications
Inflation: what went wrong, and why?
Three theories on the causes of high inflation and their implications for policy responses
Economy’s ‘first responders’ now in the line of fire
Forceful but late interventions to combat inflation raise the risk of central bank overreactions
Is money growth really the main inflation culprit?
A closer look at inflation in the eurozone and Switzerland
The case for restoring the role of monetary aggregates
Surge in money supply in response to Covid-19 triggered rampant inflation
Inflation offers route to unconventional policy exit
Asset purchases and negative rates can be reversed, but Fed/ECB policy divergence raises major risks
BoJ unlikely to move policy to counter yen weakness
Bank wary of raising rates or increasing its yield control target, writes Sayuri Shirai
Why fears about quantitative tightening are overblown
The benefits of collateral availability may outweigh the monetary liquidity withdrawn by central banks
Holding the line: the right response to war and Covid
Jagjit Chadha offers advice to policy-makers struggling to navigate between economic shocks