United States
Interest rate crosswinds buffet IRRBB teams
Political intervention and rapid-fire law changes are skewering bank models for forecasting cashflows
Fed’s Bowman outlines imminent changes to US capital rules
Overall framework to remain more robust than previous version, but will aim to eliminate overlaps
RBI buys bonds as Iran war threatens economic outlook
Economists expect central bank to stay on hold, despite risk of higher inflation and lower growth
Governor of the year: Jerome Powell
The Fed chair has shown high levels of integrity and resolve in upholding his public duty in the pursuit of price stability and maximum employment
Fed independence key to dollar strength – FOMC member
Cleveland Fed chief says geopolitics and high US debt among factors that could ‘unseat’ greenback
Why Trump’s latest Truth should make TradFi twitchy
Wall Street is becoming the villain in US president’s crypto movie
Fed’s Bowman: Basel has driven banks out of traditional loans
Vice-chair for supervision renews call to bring mortgage lending back to banking sector
Book notes: The doom loop, by Eswar S Prasad
A persuasive analysis of a new world disorder that will bring an end to central bank independence
Middle East conflict creates new uncertainty for the Fed
Additional inflationary risks could jeopardise Trump’s hopes for rate cuts, experts say
Middle Eastern central banks respond to Iran crisis
Israel unveils relief package for firms and citizens, while Turkey suspends repo auctions
R* has increased globally since pandemic – NY Fed research
Higher neutral rates show government bonds might not be as liquid and safe as before, economists say
Rogoff and Pill sound warnings over inflation
Former IMF chief economist says markets are underestimating Trump’s long-term impact
Book notes: Before the Fed, by Jon Moen and Mary Tone Rodgers
A significant contribution to understanding private-sector financial crisis responses, relevant to today’s lender-of-last-resort function
Fed governors extol AI’s ‘transformative’ potential
Waller sounds bullish note on technology, though Cook caveats optimism by warning of impact on jobs
Waller: my next FOMC vote is ‘close to a coin flip’
Governor says January’s positive jobs figures may be ‘noise’ rather than ‘signal’
BPI says SR 11-7 should go; bank model risk chiefs say ‘no’
Lobby group wants US guidance repealed; practitioners want consistent model supervision and audit
Lagarde downplays odds of early exit
ECB president uses interviews to say she is on a ‘mission’ with a ‘baseline’ of serving out her term
High tariff regime in the US is ‘here to stay’ – BoE’s Taylor
Impact on trade flows and pricing will take years to play out, MPC member says
US firms dominate entire AI supply chains – BIS bulletin
Tech giants operate across all layers, including designing chips and running clouds, study says
Europe’s strength in numbers could mitigate risks, says Panetta
Italian governor calls for progress on capital markets union to help guard against geopolitical threats
Fed paper touts prediction market data for monetary policy
Sites like Kalshi could become “new benchmark” for measuring expectations, researchers say