Macroeconomics Shipping congestion drives up inflation – IMF paper Study of tracking data shows delays at ports are reflected in headline inflation 20 Feb 2026   |  Research

Data Fed paper touts prediction market data for monetary policy Sites like Kalshi could become “new benchmark” for measuring expectations, researchers say 20 Feb 2026   |  Research

Macroeconomics Dallas Fed researcher cautions against expansionary policy Study of US in the 1970s says oil shocks were not primary driver of inflation 19 Feb 2026   |  Research

Economics Emerging economies likely to lag advanced in AI-led growth – study BIS report highlights divergence in technology’s impact on jobs and countries’ ability to adapt 18 Feb 2026   |  Research

Macroeconomics Net zero transition could boost productivity – BoE paper Impact of carbon tax depends partly on spillovers from green technology, economists say 17 Feb 2026   |  Research

Economic modelling IMF and NBU rework models to reflect Russia-Ukraine war Forecast process redesigned to take account of battlefield uncertainty and additional policy tools 13 Feb 2026   |  Official Record

Data Price change frequency upped inflation post-Covid – study Size of individual changes had same effect on overall prices as during normal times, ECB paper finds 10 Feb 2026   |  News

Macroeconomics Models need rethink due to effect of global shocks – paper Central banks can no longer assume shocks are ‘temporary, linear and symmetric’, authors say 10 Feb 2026   |  Research

Economics BIS paper models fiscal influence on monetary policy Researchers propose alternative mechanism to fiscal theory of the price level 04 Feb 2026   |  Research

Data Global liquidity surge continuing, BIS figures show Lending to non-banks continues to lead cross-border credit expansion 29 Jan 2026   |  Official Record