Economics
European Commission lowers 2023 GDP growth forecast
EC expects eurozone economy to expand by 0.6% this year
Bank of Israel warns government over war spending
Central bank says crisis will have long-term costs and casts doubt on funding plans
UK inflation falls more than BoE had expected
Housing prices fall year on year for first time since 2012, while energy prices also decline
US cash usage may have hit its floor, says Boston Fed
Consumers prefer credit cards, the top payment method in 2022, for online payments
US-China trade is falling, Fed researchers find
Fall driven by advanced technology trade, but other US allies are not following suit, paper finds
Crisis-stricken Israel has faith in central bank
Economists tell Central Banking the government must radically change fiscal priorities
BIS names top journals for central bank research
Not all of the top five general economics journals make the list, and finance journals miss top spots
UK financial institutions are ‘global public good’, says Bailey
BoE governor warns against fragmentation, criticises Brexit and discounts rate cuts
China slides back into deflation
Falling pork prices are a major drag on consumer prices
Eurozone consumers’ 12-month inflation expectations increase
Median expectations for inflation rose to 4% in September from 3.5% in August
Covid-era fiscal policy helped fuel inflation, researchers say
Robert Barro and Francesco Bianchi say their evidence supports fiscal theory of the price level
Sweden faces lower employment and labour force growth
Integration of foreign-born citizens is key to keep expanding labour force, says Riksbank research
Asian bond spreads with US not widening, BIS research finds
Central banks’ actions have decoupled EME bonds from stronger dollar, researchers say
AI could trigger explosive growth – and crush labour’s share
Past research may underestimate AI’s ‘transformative’ potential, economists say
Claudio Borio on financial cycles, operating frameworks and non-bank reform
The BIS veteran highlights a ‘unique constellation’ of challenges as central banks travel the ‘last mile’ in bringing down inflation – and says there are many more miles to go on non-bank reform
Book notes: The economic government of the world 1933–2023, by Martin Daunton
A deep dive into the politics, personalities, trade theory and trade practice of the era, but missing a crucial element: the collapse in the US stock of money
Remittances to Mexico reach record high, says Dallas Fed
Researchers say strong US construction sector fuels funds transfers
China boosts support for economy with new debt issuance
The central government will issue one trillion yuan in bonds in the fourth quarter
Corporate pandemic cash buffer is running low, finds research
The impact of monetary policy could grow as companies’ cash dwindles, Boston Fed paper says
Firms’ pricing power was driver of generalised inflation, paper finds
Supply shocks gave firms cover to raise prices without losing sales, authors find
New Zealand to publish new monthly price data
Central bank says the new data will be valuable for policy-making
Eurozone budget deficit declined in 2022
Government imbalances declined to 3.6% of GDP from 5.2% in 2021
Default fears loom over Country Garden
The Chinese developer reportedly missed a final deadline to repay $15.4 million in interest
Riksbank’s Flodén says inflationary pressures are too high
Weak krona may explain higher price increases, says deputy governor