News cycle can give estimate of business cycle – Norges Bank paper

Index can outperform traditional methods, author says

Norges Bank HQ, Oslo
Norges Bank. Photo: Norges Bank
Photo: Espen Schive

Newspaper articles can give a better high-frequency indicator of the business cycle than other more commonly used indicators, according to a working paper published on December 22 by Norges Bank.

Leif Anders Thorsrud uses a technique called Latent Dirichtlet Allocation to statistically categorise words and articles into topics that best reflect word dependencies. The system learns by itself, avoiding the need to programme it, which could introduce biases.

Thorsrud finds the index, built on the

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Central Banking? View our subscription options

Register for Central Banking

All fields are mandatory unless otherwise highlighted

This address will be used to create your account

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Central Banking account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account

.