Household debt had modest impact on US consumption, research finds

Household debt in US accounted slightly for decline in consumption in 2000s

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European Central Bank building in Frankfurt

Excessive levels of household debt exerted a meaningful but modest drag on consumption in the US for most of the 21st century, according to a working paper published by the European Central Bank (ECB) this week.

Debt overhang and deleveraging in the US and household sector: gauging the impact on consumption, by Bruno Albuquerque and Georgi Krustev, uses panel regression techniques over a personal consumption expenditure dataset to model the effects of two distinct concepts of debt.

The authors

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