IMF paper finds macro-economy dominates behaviour of bond yield curve
A recent International Monetary Fund working paper studies Czech government bonds and concludes that the macro-economy is always the dominant factor in determining bond yield movements.
Researched as part of a wider study into the macro-finance value-at-risk model compared with the standard yield-only VAR model, the study finds that persistent misalignments can be explained by existing empirical factors.
The author, Miroslav Koller, claims that it may also be possible to predict future movements
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
ECB should cut rates in next meeting, French governor says
De Galhau says last leg of disinflation in eurozone should not be too difficult
Bank of Korea considering forward guidance reform
Governor Rhee Chang-yong sees merit in revealing more information to public
Fed policy-makers disagree over risks
Williams and Goolsbee say policy is restrictive but Logan takes different view
PBoC withdraws liquidity and holds key rate
Policy-makers refrain from easing despite weak inflation and exports data
Taking stock of Bernanke: the original sin of forecasting
Jagjit Chadha says the Bernanke review should be the start of more profound discussion at the BoE
Peru’s board cuts interest rates by 25 basis points
Central bank says inflation should continue falling towards centre of target range
South Korea keeps monetary policy unchanged
Board says it would be premature to expect inflation to fall to target level despite improvement
Singapore leaves monetary policy settings unchanged
Core inflation likely to start falling in fourth quarter and continue next year, MAS says